Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.067144 0.074285 0.082105 0.091346 0.102021 0.114033 0.128660
2024-10-27 0.055580 0.065086 0.076331 0.090780 0.109103 0.131908 0.162997
2024-11-03 0.048615 0.059498 0.073181 0.092017 0.117882 0.153113 0.206531
2024-11-10 0.043554 0.055215 0.070621 0.093083 0.126125 0.174938 0.256771
2024-11-17 0.039265 0.051198 0.067607 0.092702 0.131851 0.193992 0.308321
2024-11-24 0.036289 0.048511 0.065927 0.093748 0.139607 0.217634 0.375339
2024-12-01 0.033865 0.046267 0.064507 0.094810 0.147367 0.242900 0.454890
2024-12-08 0.031768 0.044241 0.063107 0.095582 0.154612 0.268868 0.547016
2024-12-15 0.029783 0.042167 0.061358 0.095442 0.160065 0.292621 0.645431
2024-12-22 0.027844 0.039974 0.059167 0.094183 0.163080 0.311977 0.742803
2024-12-29 0.026721 0.038959 0.058775 0.096047 0.172577 0.348490 0.912648
2025-01-05 0.025111 0.037024 0.056638 0.094368 0.174353 0.367111 1.038338
2025-01-12 0.024051 0.035931 0.055886 0.095318 0.182229 0.404417 1.265735
2025-01-19 0.022836 0.034491 0.054396 0.094634 0.186331 0.433247 1.489841
2025-01-26 0.022013 0.033653 0.053905 0.095904 0.195346 0.479935 1.855613
2025-02-02 0.021237 0.032838 0.053374 0.097015 0.204235 0.530242 2.321641
2025-02-09 0.020334 0.031734 0.052207 0.096606 0.209149 0.569770 2.798035
2025-02-16 0.019686 0.031039 0.051754 0.097707 0.218398 0.629479 3.565381
2025-02-23 0.019087 0.030391 0.051335 0.098829 0.228008 0.696096 4.607445
2025-03-02 0.018498 0.029722 0.050814 0.099645 0.236970 0.765708 5.978175
2025-03-09 0.017851 0.028905 0.049933 0.099496 0.243020 0.826642 7.577102
2025-03-16 0.017133 0.027916 0.048630 0.098165 0.245100 0.870595 9.219673
2025-03-23 0.016776 0.027584 0.048652 0.100135 0.258491 0.982208 13.278511